Well, not bad I guess.
First off, I think every correctly assumes the readership--and voters--are going to be slightly more progressive than the general populace. This isn't by design. All are welcome to this blog. But the leaning seemed pretty evident going in, so I didn't expect the numbers from the poll to match the actual numbers.
But it did accurately pick up some races.
Wards
Greg Earls and Ed Cameron absolutely crushed their opponents in the poll, and both won somewhat easily on the actual election day.
In fact, if you're labeled a progressive and didn't kick butt than you were in trouble. See Ward 5. Bruce Vogel actually picked up 57% of the poll vote, but he'd only garner 48% on election day, losing to Brian Derrivan.
This wasn't a surprise. In fact as early as Saturday we were expecting trouble for Vogel. He simply wasn't winning by a large enough margin in this progressive friendly poll.
Mayor
The same could be said for Mayoral challenger Jim Stiles. In fact, his numbers were fairly close to Vogel's. Stiles secured 58% of the poll total but he'd finish with 45% of the actual vote.
At Large
I'm not going to get into percentages, but here is the poll's Top Five:
Tom Jones
Gary Roberts
Barry Connell
Donna Holaday
Katie Ives
That's pretty much how things finished with one surprising exception, Roberts was out and Steve Hutcheson was in. Hutcheson did finish with the sixth highest vote total, so if anyone were to slip in he'd be the one. But Roberts was among the top vote getters in the poll so his defeat is puzzling (and disappointed a lot of folks last night.)
School Committee
Finally, the blog poll accurately predicted the Top 3--Stephanie Weaver, Bruce Menin and Nick deKanter although we had the Top 2 being Menin and Weaver. In reality, Weaver finished first.
So there you have it. Thanks again for all who participated and keep checking back to the blog. We'll have some more Karp stuff later.
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
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2 comments:
This could be the Gallup of NBPT politics!
Next lets run an opinion poll about best restaurants in town!
Brilliant idea. Keep them coming.
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