Showing posts with label Election Results. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election Results. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 7, 2007

So how'd we do?

Well, not bad I guess.

First off, I think every correctly assumes the readership--and voters--are going to be slightly more progressive than the general populace. This isn't by design. All are welcome to this blog. But the leaning seemed pretty evident going in, so I didn't expect the numbers from the poll to match the actual numbers.

But it did accurately pick up some races.

Wards

Greg Earls and Ed Cameron absolutely crushed their opponents in the poll, and both won somewhat easily on the actual election day.

In fact, if you're labeled a progressive and didn't kick butt than you were in trouble. See Ward 5. Bruce Vogel actually picked up 57% of the poll vote, but he'd only garner 48% on election day, losing to Brian Derrivan.

This wasn't a surprise. In fact as early as Saturday we were expecting trouble for Vogel. He simply wasn't winning by a large enough margin in this progressive friendly poll.

Mayor

The same could be said for Mayoral challenger Jim Stiles. In fact, his numbers were fairly close to Vogel's. Stiles secured 58% of the poll total but he'd finish with 45% of the actual vote.

At Large
I'm not going to get into percentages, but here is the poll's Top Five:

Tom Jones
Gary Roberts
Barry Connell
Donna Holaday
Katie Ives

That's pretty much how things finished with one surprising exception, Roberts was out and Steve Hutcheson was in. Hutcheson did finish with the sixth highest vote total, so if anyone were to slip in he'd be the one. But Roberts was among the top vote getters in the poll so his defeat is puzzling (and disappointed a lot of folks last night.)

School Committee
Finally, the blog poll accurately predicted the Top 3--Stephanie Weaver, Bruce Menin and Nick deKanter although we had the Top 2 being Menin and Weaver. In reality, Weaver finished first.

So there you have it. Thanks again for all who participated and keep checking back to the blog. We'll have some more Karp stuff later.

I probably shouldn't be writing this right now.

I'm tired. The Boy found his way into our bed Monday night, which means no one sleeps well except for The Boy. And here it is 11:56 p.m. on the next night, Election night. My mind is baked and tired, but still a little wired from trailing candidates from party-to-party-to-party.

And I didn't even run for anything.

Still, something happened last night that's worth writing about before it slips out of my compromised brain. A baton was passed--or more accurately wrenched away--from the folks who have been helping to run the city and it was handed to folks who want to help to run this city a bit differently than their predecessors.

How else can you explain Kathleen O'Connor Ives? I mean, she moved to town six months ago. She applied to sit on a few city board but never heard a response so she opted to run for City Council. But what should have been a coming out party. a campaign that introduced a potential future leader to the folks of Newburyport, will result in a swearing in ceremony in January.

I doubt any of the 2054 people who voted for her had even heard her name before she moved to town (with the exception of her husband Jeff). But they saw enough in her to put her on the city council.

That's got to be unprecedented. Six months?

Closer to home, Ed Cameron managed to unseat Erford Fowler, a long-time fixture on the City Council and--in my meetings with him--a very nice gentlemen who spoke for a lot of people in this town.

Shortly after announcing Ed and Susanne came over our house for a neighborly get together. I'd only met Ed once before on our first Halloween night so I didn't know him well. I recall sitting at our dining room table, saying, "Erford is going to be tough," and thinking, "Well, I at least hope it will be close." Yet, last night Ed drew 554 votes to Erford's 438.

I'm not surprised yet I am.

Then voters turned away former mayors Mary Carrier and Al Lavender in favor of Tom Jones, Donna Holaday, Barry Connell and Steve Hutcheson. Frankly, I forget who the progressives or the conservatives are. I know they're in there. (By Mary Eaton's measure the progressives and "in the middle' candidates won the day, with the exception of Gary Roberts. More than a few folks last night said he'll be sorely missed.)

But the fact that well meaning and once popular folks like Carrier and Lavender couldn't defeat an Ives is telling.

Things are changing. This isn't meant to denigrate the people who have run things in the past. Newburyport is a wonderful place largely because of their service. But we may have found the tipping point where newcomers--like myself--and change-minded resident are forming a majority that is willing to listen even more closely to new voices, some brand new voices.

This is a good thing.

Congrats to all the candidates. Those that worked hard and won, and those that worked hard and lost. It's easy to forget that people running for office are, in fact, people. They put a great deal of work into this effort, sacrificing time with family, in order to try to make a difference. By next week we'll forget many of their names because they didn't win. But they do deserve credit for stepping forward and wanting to serve.

Also, thanks to those who did serve but didn't get re-elected.

More on how the poll results matched up against the actual results tomorrow or rather later today. I actually think we did pretty well.

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